Human Predicament -- better commonsense required

Synopsis of slides and audio:

People expect the collected footprint of 6 billion people to deplete fossil fuel and water reservoirs, reduce the production of fisheries and forests, poison the land, water, and air, change the climate, and escalate social conflict.

What should we do? New leaders? New forms of government? New moral codes? New laws? No, we need better commonsense in a whole future generation.

The inability to gather, process, and value

information prevents this generation from fully grasping the severity of its predicament. Limited thought processes allow this generation to believe that recycling, conserving, proper handling of toxic waste, carbon dioxide management and zero population growth will avert a bad destination when it won't.

The cure for our predicament is rapid population decline. However, thought process limitations prevent us from seeing it. They also prevent us from taking the one child per family behavior that could implement it.


Introduction ----- the "unseen" human predicament-------------------- View 17 Mins.

Part-1 Three Thought Process Limitations------------------------------ View  9 Mins.
           1) Too much information------------------ coupling

           2) Everything changing at once ------- simultaneity
           3) Unexpected change -------------------- nonlinearity--------------View 29 Mins.     
                      nonlinear seen as linear   
                      resolving  the miss-experience of nonlinearity 
Part-2 Thought Process Limitations and Social Conflict---------- View 20 Mins.
            1) Coupling, simultaneity, and social conflict 
            2) Nonlinearity and social conflict ----------------------------------- View 23 Mins
                      unconstrained vs constrained growth   
                      convergence and the "Crisis of Conflict"  
Closing - Our options -------------------------------------------------------------- View 17 mins

 

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Jack Alpert (Bio)     mail to: Alpert@skil.org     www.skil.org      position papers
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